Links for 2023-09-18
Connecting Large Language Models with Evolutionary Algorithms Yields Powerful Prompt Optimizers https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.08532
DeepMind discovers that AI large language models can optimize their own prompts https://venturebeat.com/business/deepmind-discovers-that-ai-large-language-models-can-optimize-their-own-prompts/ [https://archive.ph/wip/La5wX]
NExT-GPT: Any-to-Any Multimodal LLM: “Overall, our research showcases the promising possibility of building an AI agent capable of modeling universal modalities, paving the way for more human-like AI research in the community.” https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.05519
Making LLMs More Factual Without Retrieval or Fine-tuning https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.03883
Timelines of major philosophical progress https://twitter.com/OwainEvans_UK/status/1701432617697239488
UDT shows that decision theory is more puzzling than ever https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wXbSAKu2AcohaK2Gt/udt-shows-that-decision-theory-is-more-puzzling-than-ever
"Recording of a Pacinian neuron in the hindlimb of a freely moving mouse (sound on). That's my finger rubbing the foam it's sitting on, the Pacinian is sensitive enough to pick up the vibrations!" https://x.com/JosefTurec73986/status/1702799558600978569
“On 28 August 2023 NATS, the UK's air traffic control operator, suffered a major technical incident.” https://jameshaydon.github.io/nats-fail/
“IQ of China: 2nd look: 97-103 - exact average not clear due to low quality data” https://www.sebjenseb.net/p/iq-of-china-2nd-look
Neanderthal Genes Are Linked to Severe Covid Risk: Study in Italy’s worst pandemic hot spot sheds light on why some people fell seriously ill and others didn’t https://wsj.com/health/wellness/neanderthal-genes-are-linked-to-severe-covid-risk-d992ccad [https://archive.ph/lX9WA]
Ukraine links:
Russian UAZ getting hit by FPV drone while evacuating a casualty. https://twitter.com/DefMon3/status/1703394639435215058
“Footage from storming operations in Andriivka that was recently liberated. What remains of this settlement are ruins while the fields are littered with corpses.” https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1703672176769966407
How Klischiivka was liberated through the eyes of Special Police Force brigade Lyut. https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1703703500121637174
“Russian infantry units attacking Ukrainian positions just outside Verbove. This confirms a further advance of Ukrainian units towards the settlement.” https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1703668189521920395
155mm artillery shell production targets: 🇳🇴 Nammo - 80,000/year by 2024; 🇩🇪 Rheinmetall - 600,000/year by 2024; 🇺🇸 Total - 1,200,000/year by 2025 https://edition.cnn.com/2023/09/17/europe/ukraine-shell-supplies-intl
Some predictions about the war on Ukraine:
August 30, 2008: Putin said, “Crimea is not a disputed territory. There was no ethnic conflict there, unlike the conflict between South Ossetia and Georgia. Russia has long since recognized the current borders of what is now Ukraine.”
June 7, 2020: "Before Donald Trump, Russia Needed 60 Hours To Beat NATO—Now Moscow Could Win Much Faster"
January 21, 2022: "The West’s Weapons Won’t Make Any Difference to Ukraine"
January 27, 2022: Zelensky questions U.S. warnings of "imminent" invasion in Biden call
February 5, 2022: General Mark Milley told lawmakers that Kyiv could fall within 72 hours if a full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine occurs
February 22, 2022: Michael Kofman and Jeffrey Edmonds, experts on the Russian Armed Forces, said "Ukraine’s military is generally understaffed and has limited familiarity with warfare designed to surprise and disrupt enemies. Ukrainian forces would fall victim to Russian air attacks as they retreated, and Russian ground forces would move quickly to try to surround Ukrainian formations."
February 24, 2022: Erich Vad, a former German general and adviser to Angela Merkel, said “I think Putin will win this war because the Russian armed forces are modern, well-equipped. (...) The Ukrainian armed forces have outdated equipment and are in an incredibly bad position. (...) Giving military aid now is no longer of any use in the current conflict. (...) From a military point of view, the matter is over. And my assessment is that it will only be a matter of a few days and no more.”
February 25, 2022: US concerned Kyiv could fall to Russia within days, sources familiar with intel say
November 24, 2022: Erich Vad said “In the weeks and months [after the start of the war] we consistently underestimated the Russians...”
See also (various dates): Russian media claiming Kyiv will fall in a few days. https://x.com/XiXiDu/status/1703318609030783142
Sources:
3. https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/01/21/weapons-ukraine-russia-invasion-military/
4. https://www.axios.com/2022/01/28/zelensky-biden-call-imminent-invasion
7. https://x.com/Tendar/status/1590471646762061824
8. https://edition.cnn.com/2022/02/25/politics/kyiv-russia-ukraine-us-intelligence/index.html