Links for 2023-09-16
The average human was surpassed in March by GPT4. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-40858-3
“ⓍTTS is a super cool Text-to-Speech model that lets you clone voices in different languages by using just a quick 3-second audio clip.” https://github.com/coqui-ai/TTS/blob/dev/docs/source/models/xtts.md
“Researchers from MIT, the MIT-IBM Watson AI Lab, and elsewhere have developed a more efficient computer vision model that vastly reduces the computational complexity of this task.” https://news.mit.edu/2023/ai-model-high-resolution-computer-vision-0912
DeepMind’s cofounder: Generative AI is just a phase. What’s next is interactive AI: bots that can carry out tasks you set for them by calling on other software and other people to get stuff done. https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/09/15/1079624/deepmind-inflection-generative-ai-whats-next-mustafa-suleyman/ [https://archive.ph/wip/TkrIi]
AI safety with Chinese characteristics https://x.com/suchenzang/status/1702126326369636631
The endovascular brain-computer interface by Synchroninc is already in human trials. It implants stent-like electrodes in blood vessels inside the brain without requiring invasive surgery, which then communicate wirelessly. https://www.inverse.com/science/thomas-oxley
Quantum simulator to emulate lower-dimensional molecular structure https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adf2685
Moral Uncertainty and Our Relationships with Unknown Minds https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/cambridge-quarterly-of-healthcare-ethics/article/moral-uncertainty-and-our-relationships-with-unknown-minds/AD705B3C29E1980DDEBDBD2BA604A480
The limits of our personal experience and the value of statistics https://ourworldindata.org/limits-personal-experience
Ancient genomes discussion with Davide Piffer & Emil O. W. Kirkegaard at Lake Como https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_XbrzSfEz4
“The Asian-black college admission test gap is so enormous that if the top score was extended past 1600, then there'd be about 280 blacks with scores >1600 alive today vs. 800,000 Asians >1600.” https://x.com/Steve_Sailer/status/1702272897740607561
I wrote something similar back in 2013: https://web.archive.org/web/20140722122623/http://kruel.co/2013/07/24/realistic-ai-risk-scenarios/
Much to my personal dismay, even less intelligent tools will be sufficient to enable worse than extinction risks, such as a stable global tyranny. Given enough resources, narrow artificial intelligence, capable of advanced data mining, pattern recognition and of controlling huge amounts of insect sized drones (a global surveillance and intervention system), might be sufficient to implement such an eternal tyranny.
Such a dictatorship is not too unlikely, as the tools necessary to stabilize it will be necessary in order prevent the previously mentioned risks, risks that humanity will face before general intelligence becomes possible.
(Note that I don't necessarily endorse posts I wrote at the time anymore.)
Original tweet: https://x.com/HiFromMichaelV/status/1670380408171642880
Ukraine links:
“Ukraine will have increased domestic drone production 100-fold by the end of the year since the start of the war.” https://www.ft.com/content/e83bd6fe-43b8-4adf-9bea-07609bc223d0 [https://archive.ph/A78XX]
The US aims to increase the production of 155-mm shells: "'We're going to be at 100,000 per month in 2025. We were at 14,000 per month 6 or 8 months ago, we are now at 28,000 a month today,' Bill LaPlante, the Pentagon's chief weapons buyer said at a conference" https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/us-aims-make-100000-artillery-shells-per-month-2025-us-official-says-2023-09-15/ [https://archive.ph/1rnsv]
“While global attention is primarily on the counter-offensive in the South, there has been noteworthy yet often unnoticed progress in the southernmost part of Bakhmut's defenses. In this thread, I will provide the latest information about Kurdyumivka and its significance.” https://twitter.com/Tatarigami_UA/status/1702686188509819058
Ukrainian forces have retaken the village of Andriivka. As they retook the completely destroyed village, they encircled and routed the Russian 72nd Brigade, killing three battalion commanders and the Russian brigade's intelligence chief. https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1702938524306047264
Russians fleeing from Klishchiivka https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1702780429428830222