Links for 2023-02-15
Google released MetNet-2, a deep learning model that can predict rain up to 12 hours in advance. Published in Nature, it outperforms current weather forecast models which are based on physics simulations. https://nature.com/articles/s41467-022-32483-x
“Psychedelics famously dissolve personal identity and make you ‘one with everything’. If there are so many drugs which can do that, where are the drugs which do the opposite, strengthening identity and making you one with nothing?” https://gwern.net/question#anti-psychedelics
“One reason deep learning exploded over the last decade was the availability of programming languages that could automate the math — college-level calculus — that is needed to train each new model...MIT researchers developed ADEV, which extends automatic differentiation to handle models that make random choices. This brings the benefits of AI programming to a much broader class of problems...” https://news.mit.edu/2023/automating-math-decision-making-under-uncertainty-0206
Microsoft thinks AI can beat Google at search — CEO Satya Nadella explains why https://www.theverge.com/23589994/microsoft-ceo-satya-nadella-bing-chatgpt-google-search-ai
“This post proposes a strategy for safely accelerating alignment research. The plan is to set up human-in-the-loop systems which empower human agency rather than outsource it, and to use those systems to differentially accelerate progress on alignment.” https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bxt7uCiHam4QXrQAA/cyborgism
Shapley values: Better than counterfactuals https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/XHZJ9i7QBtAJZ6byW/shapley-values-better-than-counterfactuals
Unsatisfactory findings in the USSR census of 1937 led to the execution of the civil servants who conducted it. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soviet_Census_(1937)
No great stagnation in home espresso https://worksinprogress.substack.com/p/in-pursuit-of-decent-coffee
“DeepD3, an open framework for automated quantification of dendritic spines. Finally an open-source tool to quickly and reliably identify and segment dendritic spines in a wide range of image data” https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1622350757893652484.html
Earth Has Plenty of Raw Materials to Meet Future Wind and Solar Power Needs, Study Finds https://singularityhub.com/2023/02/06/earth-has-plenty-of-raw-materials-to-meet-future-wind-and-solar-power-needs-study-finds/
"Research has consistently found lower cognitive ability to be related to increased risk for violent and other antisocial behaviour." https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0041783
“2023 Gazantiep Earthquake: An Exercise in Corruption” https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1623815342207168512.html