Links for 2022-11-09
Alan Hájek on puzzles and paradoxes in probability and expected value https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/alan-hajek-probability-expected-value/
Superintelligent AI is necessary for an amazing future, but far from sufficient https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HoQ5Rp7Gs6rebusNP/superintelligent-ai-is-necessary-for-an-amazing-future-but-1
“How does FDA regulation affect innovation and market concentration? I show that deregulation: 1. increases innovation by as much as 400% 2. increases firm entry by 1000% 3. decrease prices by 40%.” https://parkerrogers.github.io/Papers/RegulatingtheInnovators_Rogers.pdf
“An Existential Threat to Doing Good Science: What scientists are able to teach and what research we can pursue are under attack. I know because I’m living it, writes biologist Luana Maroja.” https://www.commonsense.news/p/an-existential-threat-to-doing-good
“Everyone on social media should know about the Illusory Truth Effect. If you see something repeated enough times, it seems more true. Multiple studies show that it works on 85% of people. Worse, it still happens even if the information isn't plausible & even if you know better.” https://twitter.com/emollick/status/1586728801123328001
“Looking ahead, Clive Thompson sees a world with "a sea of people who are code-adjacent" who will use "emerging toolsets" to automate their business logic.” https://thenewstack.io/coders-author-clive-thompson-on-how-programming-is-changing/
Matt Welsh predicts that the future of computing will not be about programming; it will be about training large models for specialized applications. https://levelup.gitconnected.com/the-end-of-programming-6e3f7ff0d8b4
Google’s AudioLM uses large language model techniques to produce spoken audio and music. The prompts are audio clips, rather than texts, and the output sounds more natural than other audio synthesis software. https://google-research.github.io/seanet/audiolm/examples/
Simple 3D-Printed Device May Pave the Way for Far More Powerful Cell Phones and WIFI https://www.seas.harvard.edu/news/2022/10/simple-machine-may-pave-way-more-powerful-cell-phones-and-wifi
Countryballs history of Europe: 1500-2022 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qhqXXD-Gtew