Links for 2022-02-10
Everything you always wanted to know about marginal likelihood https://arxiv.org/pdf/2005.08334.pdf
Multiple lines of evidence showing Hispanics are moving away from the Democrat party https://ideasanddata.wordpress.com/2022/02/03/are-hispanic-americans-becoming-republicans/
Observed patterns around major technological advancements. Apparent regularities in how major new technological capabilities and methods come about. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/iRhSi5KcnnD9qsAGo/observed-patterns-around-major-technological-advancements
New Super-Conducting Technology Takes Data Beyond Ones and Zeroes https://scitechdaily.com/new-super-conducting-technology-takes-data-beyond-ones-and-zeroes/
More heavily bombed areas in the Blitz in London exhibit taller buildings today. Without it, a simulation suggests the reduction in agglomeration economies arising from the loss of higher-density redevelopment would lead London’s GDP to drop by some 10% https://academic.oup.com/joeg/article/21/6/869/6213370?login=false
Nuclear power is clean, safe and cheap. We need it to stop global heating https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/nuclear-power-is-clean-safe-and-cheap-we-need-it-to-stop-global-heating/
An excellent video explaining prediction markets and futarchy from Robin Hanson. https://youtu.be/4yZKGbq1YmA
Solar Geoengineering Research Is a Risk Worth Taking https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-02-01/a-ban-on-solar-geoengineering-would-limit-our-climate-options
Everything we see is a mash-up of the brain’s last 15 seconds of visual information https://theconversation.com/everything-we-see-is-a-mash-up-of-the-brains-last-15-seconds-of-visual-information-175577
New highly virulent and damaging HIV variant discovered in the Netherlands https://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2022-02-04-new-highly-virulent-and-damaging-hiv-variant-discovered-netherlands
Modern’s HIV vaccine begins human trials https://www.them.us/story/hiv-aids-vaccine-human-trials-moderna
Scientists leave the UK as China overtakes US as most favoured destination https://sciencebusiness.net/news-byte/scientists-leave-uk-china-overtakes-us-most-favoured-destination
"The estimated annual cost of [US] crime is $4.71–$5.76 trillion including transfers from victims to criminals and $2.86–$3.92 trillion net of transfers." https://journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10.1086/715713